Craft Brewing: All Numbers, All the Time
/I'm way late with this, but last week the Washington Post ran an article about the numbers game/turmoil roiling the waters of craft brewers these days. Tip o' the mug to Andy Crouch for the pointer.
Historian. Author. Ranter. Idea Junkie.
This a blog. Sort of. I rarely use it anymore.
I'm way late with this, but last week the Washington Post ran an article about the numbers game/turmoil roiling the waters of craft brewers these days. Tip o' the mug to Andy Crouch for the pointer.
Another article about Beer Lao mania (first mentioned here some months back). It is, indeed, the NEW. HIP. EXOTIC. BEER, one favored by those quick to jump on the bandwagon of hipness, in this case rice adjuncts and all. So for those keeping track:
The fact that you hear it here first, well, shucks. Doesn't make me hip. Just, ya know, aware and astute.
Got my head handed to me for not toeing the party line when it came to the "I Am A Craft Brewer" video, so the least I can do is post a link to Greg Koch's speech, which preceded the video at the recent Craft Brewers Conference.
. . . I'm not sure the "Comment of the Week" is such a great idea, because all of the comments I get are either smart, funny, thoughtful, or all three. Evidence: This truly thoughtful (and much appreciated) comment a few days ago from Matt Dunn.
I agree with what you’re saying here. I’m interested to see how Greg Koch deals with the slowing of organic growth in 20 years, when (if) Stone is making 1,000,000+ bbl a year, which I don’t think is a stretch. Though I think there are other, better reasons why firms have a grow-grow-grow mentality.
Yes, it has to do with the fact that entrepreneurs are motivated, driven, ambitious creatures, but there are real market forces that cause market shares to grow, consolidation to occur, and oligopolies to develop.
For example, as costs of raw materials and shipping rise due to various reasons, firms do not want to increase the price of their product to make up the increase in cost. Rather, they scale up to get better economies of scale. In fact, it’s generally a good idea to be as big as possible to absorb typical cost fluctuations.
The recent hop shortage is a great example that should be fresh in everyone’s mind. Bigger brewers that were able to pre-buy bigger lots of hops could and will continue to be able to absorb fluctuations in hop prices better than smaller brewers.
Anita McGahan’s 1991 article in Harvard Business Review (which I’m sure you know about) is a great account of how market and socio-cultural forces shaped the American beer industry in the 20th century. It’s not like AB and Pabst and Ballantine sat down in 1904 and said we’re going to be a soulless giant corporation in fifty years, here is a our long term soulless strategic plan.
Tremblay and Tremblay’s book also gives a great overview of the market forces at work from a more formal standpoint with less historical consideration. There is no reason to expect craft beer to be any different. We see it over and over again in the history of beer, from the introduction of hopped beer to England in the 15th and 16th century, the advent of porter in the 18th and early 19th centuries, pure-culture lager brewing in the late 19th century, and post-prohibition brewing in the US- there are strong trends in growth of market share, consolidation, and the development of oligopolies. Most industries besides brewing show these same patterns. There is no reason to expect craft beer to be substantially different.
I agree with you and just wanted to throw this out there. I just started teaching a history of beer class after a year hiatus and I’m fired up about it again.
If you live in the Austin area, you're in for a treat: An encore screening of "Beer Wars," followed by another live discussion, this time with producer-director Anat Baron and film "star" Greg Koch of Stone Brewing. Check it out.
Via Jeremiah McWilliams of Lager Heads, this piece about a fellow reporter's tour of the A-B InBev "beer lab" in St. Louis.
1. Piece reminds me so much of all those "your reporter was taken on a tour of the brewery" pieces written back in the 19th century (whenever Adolphus or Frederick wanted to drum up news, they invited reporters around and got what they wanted: gushy, but detailed, descriptions of the brewery facilities).
2. Why am I thinking the A-B brew lab won't last much longer? It's precisely the kind of money sink that new owners InBev (and especially Carlos Brito) hate.
Website of Maureen Ogle, author and historian. Books include Ambitious Brew: The Story of American Beer; In Meat We Trust: An Unexpected History of Carnivore America; and Key West: History of An Island of Dreams.
Powered by Squarespace